prediction

Publication date: 
02/2017
Authors: 
Ryan Kennedy
Stefan Wojcik
David Lazer

This study reports the results of a multiyear program to predict direct executive elections in a variety of countries from globally pooled data. We developed prediction models by means of an election data set covering 86 countries and more than 500 elections, and a separate data set with extensive polling data from 146 election rounds. We also participated in two live forecasting experiments.

Keywords: 
election
prediction
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